人口红利对我国经济的影响
【毕业论文关键词】 人口红利、储蓄率、抚养比、劳动参与率
Abstract The impact of the demographic pidend on China's economy From 1978 to 2005, China achieved an average annual GDP growth rate of 9%, which is called "Chinese miracle". Similarly, during the early 1950s to the 1990s, Japan and "Four Asian Tigers" overcome the lack of resources limits on economic development, they improve the living standards by other way of economic, and achieve a comprehensive social progress, which is known as the "East Asian Miracle". What simple between them is that the stage of economic development have occurred in the population structure is changing phase shift from high fertility, high mortality and low natural growth rate to low fertility, low mortality and low natural growth rate. According to some Chinese institutions, one of the most important factors to cteate "Chinese economic miracle" is the "demographic pidend", its contribution to GDP growth per capita in the period 1982-2000 reached 26.8%. Their characteristic is that in the demographic transition process, the society was higher proportion of the working-age population, low young and old dependents relatively called "golden period" which is favorable to socio-economic development. But the demographic pidend is not sustainable, as the accelerated aging deeper, the demographic pidend will disappear, this change will be bound by a number of variables affect the final delivery to every aspect of our country, including the impact of the economic aspects, such as the macro-level of savings, affect consumption and investment, which means that the future demographic transition economic development in China would no longer have a large supply of cheap labor advantage, today, "labor shortage", "shortage of skilled workers" and to extend the retirement plans and so on also illustrates this point. Therefore, depth discussion on the changes in the demographic pidend is significance, which is the starting point of this article and purpose. This paper introduces the basic information of demographic pidend first, including definition, basic characteristics and conditions and the related literature review. Secondly, about the demographic pidend of economic growth in the internal mechanism of action, and empirical analysis examines the impact of the demographic pidend on our economy and give conclusions.
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