摘要：跨太平洋伙伴关系协定（TPP）被认为是至今为止在亚太地区甚至全世界范围内自由度最高，范围最广泛的多边自由贸易协定。中国尚未加入该协议。TPP是美国重返亚洲的战略平台，制衡中国经济的武器，这将对中国的经济、政治等各方面产生一定的影响。建立TPP后增加的贸易转移效应，导致中国出口总额大幅下降，严重影响了国内经济的产业转型。绝大多数小规模的生产加工企业，技术水平低，在中低端的国际加工贸易产业，并且有相当一部分属于低水平的劳动力密集型产品。这些企业依附于国外需求，当外部环境发生变化时，中国加工贸易显得很脆弱。所以本文选择从加工贸易的角度探讨TPP所带来的影响。加工贸易改革势在必行，中国的经济改革往往是由于外部冲击导致内部倒逼改革，这是一个攀升加工贸易价值链并保持核心竞争力的改革契机。这篇文章是基于新贸易理论和现代经济学，来探讨我国加工贸易竞争力逐渐下降的困境以及通过政策改革、升级产业结构等发展对策。43679

关键词：TPP；中国加工贸易；贸易战略

The Impact of TPP on China's Processing Trade 

Abstract: Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement is considered to be so far in the Asia-Pacific region and worldwide, the highest degree of freedom, the contents of the most widely used and multilateral free trade agreements. China has not yet joined the agreement, but the future does not rule out China put forward at the appropriate time to join. TPP is a strategic platform for the United States to return to Asia, the United States to balance China's economic weapon, will impact China's economic, political and other aspects. After the establishment of TPP increased trade persion effect, resulting in a substantial decline in China's total exports, seriously affecting the domestic economy industrial transformation. The vast majority of small-scale production and processing enterprises, low level of technology, processing trade industry overall competitiveness in the international chain of low-end, the degree of processing is not deep, and a considerable part belongs to the low level of labor-intensive products and services. When the external environment changes, the processing trade seems fragile. Therefore, this paper explore the effect of TPP select brought from the perspective of the processing trade. Processing trade reform is imperative, China's economic reform is often due to external shocks and internal Forced to reform, which is a rise of processing trade value chain and maintain the core competitiveness of opportunity for reform. This article is based, by means of new trade theory and analytical methods of modern economics, China's processing trade to explore current predicament and countermeasure development.

Key Words: Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement; China's Processing Trade; Trade Strategy

目录

前言 1

（一）研究目的 1

（二）研究意义 1

（三）研究内容 1

一、TPP协议概述 3

（一）TPP协议的特点与发展现状 3

1、TPP协议的特点 3

2、TPP协议的发展现状 3

（二）TPP与中国的关系 3

1、中国被排除在TPP之外的缘由 3

2、中国是否能二次入世 4

二、TPP协议对中国加工贸易的影响 6

（一）TPP协议对中国加工贸易的积极影响