摘  要:2008年4月7日，中国与新西兰签署了《中国华人民共和国政府和新西兰政府自由贸易协定》。经过三年多的谈判，中新两国终于以成功结尾。该协定是中国首次与发达国家签定的全面的自由贸易协定。本文以此为背景，对中国-新西兰产业内贸易进行实证研究。首先，采用调整后的G-L指数对中新产业内贸易的现状进行详细分析。在此基础上，通过建立非线性多元回归模型探究了影响中新产业内贸易的影响因素。最后，本文针对模型的回归分析结果提出了促进中新产业内贸易发展的对策建议。53916

毕业论文关键词：自由贸易协定，产业内贸易，调整后的G-L指数，多元回归模型

Abstract:In April 2008, the China-New Zealand Free Trade Agreement was signed between the People's Republic of China and New Zealand. The agreement was signed on 7 April 2008 in Beijing, after negotiations that lasted over three years, and was really a great full stop of the story. It was the first free trade agreement that China has signed with any developed country. Based on this special background, this paper is an empirical study on the intra-industry trade between China and New Zealand. Firstly, we analyse the current situation of the intra-industry trade between China and New Zealand in detail using the Adjusted G-L index. Then several influence factors are systematically studied through a nonlinear multiple regression model. Finally, we provide some countermeasure and suggestion regarding promotion of the intra-industry trade between China and New Zealand.

Key words: Free Trade Agreement, Intra-Industry Trade, The Adjusted G-L Index, Multiple Regression Model

目  录

1  引言 4

2  文献综述 4

3  产业内贸易理论概述 5

3.1  概念的界定 5

3.2  产业内贸易的分类 5

3.3  产业内贸易理论的衡量方法 6

4  中国与新西兰产业内贸易的现状 7

4.1  中国与新西兰双边贸易概况 7

4.1.1  中新双边贸易额分析 7

4.1.2  中新贸易商品结构分析 9

4.2  中国与新西兰产业内贸易分析 10

4.2.1  中国-新西兰产业内贸易的整体水平分析 10

4.2.2  中国-新西兰产业内贸易的产品结构分析 11

5  中国-新西兰产业内贸易影响因素实证研究 12

5.1  产业内贸易的影响因素 12

5.1.1  国家特征因素 12

5.1.2  产业特征因素 13

5.2  中国-新西兰产业内贸易影响因素实证分析 14

6  促进中新产业内贸易的对策建议 16

6.1 努力发展经济，提高中国人均国民收入 17

6.2 加快同新西兰区域经济一体化进程 17

6.3 注重科技创新，实现出口产品差异化，提高产品竞争力 17

结论 18

参考文献 19

致 谢