摘要外汇管制是指一国政府为平衡国际收支和维持本国货币汇率而对外汇进出实行限制性措施，依照该国法律，政府颁布的方针政策和各种规定和条列进行。越南的外汇管制历史至今为将近七十年，十年来越南的外汇管制特征以放宽为主导，对付外汇资金短缺和贸易赤字的问题。但几年放松管制给越南面临着不少问题通货膨胀过高，汇率不稳定和美元化经济体等。本文通过博弈模型，对越南的外汇管制的政策效果进行分析，发现越南外汇管制在当前情况还不够灵活，健全，还需要进一步调整完善。68215

毕业论文关键词 外汇管制 ；政策效果；博弈模型

毕 业 论 文 外 文 摘 要

Title:  Vietnam's foreign exchange market control and policy effects

Abstract

Foreign exchange control is that a government put on end the imposition of restrictive measures on foreign exchange flows,enacts a variety of policies and regulations in accordance with the law of the country for the balance of international payments and maintaining of the natinonal currency exchange rate.Vietnam's exchange control history has been so far as nearly seventy years,from the past decade up to now,Vietnam's Foreign exchange feature is the relaxation which dealed with foreign exchage shortage and trade deficits.But after a few years of deregulation,Vietnam is facing with many problems such as so high inflation,instable exchange rate and dollarized economy,ect.In this thesis,Vietnam's foreign exchange control policy effects were analyzed by using the game model and found that the Vietnam's foreign exchange control in the current situation is still not flexible enough,still needs further adjustment and improvement.

Keywords foreign exchange control ; policy effects ; game model

目录

1 引言 1

2文献综述 1

2.1 外汇管制相关理论 1

2.1.1 外汇管制概念 1

2.1.2 外汇管制产生与演变 1

2.2 越南金融改革及外汇管制面临的困难 3

2.3 中国外汇管制的经验 5

2.4 小结 7

3 越南外汇市场与管制现状 7

3.1 越南外汇市场的诞生及发展 7

3.2 越南央行的外汇交易活动 8

3.2.1 在国内外汇市场 8

3.2.2在国际外汇市场 9

3.3 越南央行的外汇管制 9

3.3.1 利率政策和信贷机制 9

3.3.2 汇率政策 11

3.3.3 外汇存款准备金 12

3.3.4 结汇政策 14

3.3.5 外汇状态 15

3.3.6 境外汇款政策 16

3.3.7 违反外汇管制行为的处罚 17

3.4 本章小结 19

4 越南外汇管制政策效果 19

4.1 博弈模型 19

4.1.1 外汇管制政策相关各利益主体 19

4.1.2 行动 19

4.1.3 收益 20

4.2 博弈均衡