摘  要：辱母杀人案作为一个引起极大关注的社会热点案件，无论从具体案情还是一审判决结果来看，都是值得深入探讨的，这个案件的争论，映射出法理和情理的冲突。司法者不能成为条文的奴隶，像这种争议性案件，应该要考虑民众的规范感觉和朴素的法律感情去处理。法律是为了保障生命和财产，如果死守条文却违背了以人为本的精神，那么法律便成了一纸空文，失去了它应有的意义。期待可能性理论最大的价值基础在于它体现对脆弱人性的尊重与关怀，从而使法律达到更好的社会效果，这与我国刑法中的很多因素是相契合的。正确借鉴期待可能性理论既可以使得在司法实践中出现的一些与人们的基本法律情感不符的案件得到合理解决，也有利于构建和谐的定罪、处罚体系。在我国刑法理论中引入期待可能性是符合我国刑法目的和宗旨的，值得我们研究和学习。94903

毕业论文关键词：期待可能性；刑法；辱母杀人案；人性

A Brief Analysis of Anticipated Possibility in Chinese Criminal Law

Abstract： The murder case come in for an great deal of attention as a social hot cases。 It is worth exploring regardless of the specific case or the verdict of the first instance。The dispute of this case reflects a conflict between the juridical logic and the sense。The Judge should be rational to deal with the case instead of providing service for law。Law should be people-oriented otherwise it will become useless。Giving enough respect and care for fragile human nature so that the law to achieve better social effects is the best value of expected possibility。This is in line with the ideals of China's criminal law。The murder case come in for an great deal of attention as a social hot cases。It is worth exploring regardless of the specific case or the verdict of the first instance。 The dispute of this case reflects a conflict between the juridical logic and the sense。The Judge should be rational to deal with the case instead of providing service for law。Law should be people-oriented otherwise it will become useless。Giving enough respect and care for fragile human nature so that the law to achieve better social effects is the best value of expected possibility。This is in line with the ideals of China's criminal law。The correct use of the theory of expectation possibility can make the case of judicial practice in some of the basic legal feelings of people do not match the case to be a reasonable solution,but also conducive to building a harmonious conviction,punishment system。It is worthy of our research and study to introduce the expectation possibility in our criminal law theory in line with the purpose and purpose of our criminal law。

   Key Words： The anticipated possibility；criminal law；the murder case；humanity

目  录

一、引言1

二、期待可能性的理论基础1

三、期待可能性理论的具体适用标准2

（一）适用范围2

（二）适用条件3

（三）判断标准3

四、我国刑法对期待可能性理论的借鉴4

（一）对刑事立法的反思借鉴4

（二）在司法实践的借鉴意义4

五、由辱母杀人案引发的思考5

（一）期待可能性的精神在本案中的体现5

（二）本案在司法实践中的应然处理5

 结语6

参考文献8

致谢9

一、引言

期待可能性理论始于19世纪德意志帝国“癖马案”，该案在学界引起很大反响，经过几百年历史发展与修正完善，它的影响日益广泛，在刑法中有着举足轻重的理论研究价值。因其所蕴含的价值取向高度契合人类的社会现实，在欧日等大陆法系国家已成通说，在我国基本还停留在研究层面，还未实际运用到司法实践中，但该理论对于我国刑事立法和司法实践都有很大的借鉴意义。前段时间的山东聊城辱母杀人案的审理过程和结果对我国刑法研究期待可能性问题具有一定的启示。