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摘要:国内外的大量研究表明：大学城的建设会对其周边商品住宅价格产生影响，本文从实证角度出发，以临港大学城周边的港城滴水湖馨苑为例，采用了定性分析与定量分析相结合的方法来研究揭示大学城的建设对周边商品住宅价格的影响。47151
论文首先采用定性手段阐述了大学城的确会对周围商品住宅价格的升值产生影响，距离大学城越近，它的影响力也就越大，大学城的影响区范围半径是不同的。通过对临港地区周围的房地产市场进行实地考察，并以问卷调查方式得出导致这一规律的原因是大学城的建设对各圈层住宅价格的影响程度不同。
其次本文系统介绍了时间序列法和长期趋势法的基本原理，并采用这两种模型，利用EXCEL等软件进行分析计算，根据港城滴水湖馨苑过去一年的房地产价格，运用这两种模型，预测未来6个月临港地区房地产价格。
最后针对临港地区房地产市场的发展进行了展望，并根据临港地区房地产市场的发展提出了意见与对策建议。
毕业论文关键字： 临港大学城；商品住宅；房地产价格；房地产市场
Study on the influence of University Town port to the surrounding commercial housing price
Abstract：In a large number of studies at home and abroad show that the construction of university city will of the surrounding commercial housing prices, this paper from the empirical point of view of, to port around the University City Dishui Lake Xinyuan, for example, using the method of combining qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis to study reveals that the University City for the construction of the surrounding commercial housing prices.
Firstly, the qualitative means on the university city will indeed be the appreciation of the surrounding commercial housing prices have an impact, from City University closer, its influence is bigger also, university city zone of influence radius is different. By around the port area of the real estate market of on-the-spot investigation, and to survey it is concluded that the law is the construction of the University City have different effects on the various layers of the residential price.
Secondly this paper systematically introduces the basic principle of time sequence method and long-term trends in the, and use the two models, are calculated and analyzed by using Excel software, according to the port city of Dishui Lake Xinyuan past years of real estate prices, using the two models, predict the future six months port area real estate prices.
Finally for the development of port area real estate market prospect, and puts forward opinions and suggestions according to the development of the port area of the real estate market.
Keywords: Lingang University Town，；residential，；real estate prices，；the real estate market
目录
1绪言 1
1.1 研究背景 1
1.2 研究目的 1
1.3 研究现状 2
1.4 研究思路与研究方法 5
1.5 研究内容与论文结构 6
1.6 本章小结 6
2商品住宅及其价格 8
2.1 商品住宅的概念 8
2.2 商品住宅价格形成条件 9
2.3 商品住宅价格特征分析 9
2.4 商品住宅价格构成要素 10
2.5 本章小结 12
3影响房地产价格的因素