农户特征对农地经营规模意愿影响研究
毕业论文关键词：农户特征；农地经营规模意愿；影响因素；logit回归模型
Effect of households’ features on their willingness of land scale management
Abstract: The paper makes a study by using the data from households in Liaoning province. On the foundation of analyzing the present condition about household features and the willingness of land scale management, the paper utilize logit regression model to make a empirical study about how households’ features make effects on the willingness of land scale management. The results show:(1)age, education, Party member, the number of population in a family, the mainly source of income, the area of land, the idea of leaving village to city make remarkable effects on enlarging the willingness of land scale management. (2) migrant, cultivation, the number of labors in a family, the mainly source of income, the number of joining social insurance, the area of land, the quality of land, the spot of land, the idea of leaving village to city make remarkable effects on shrinking the willingness of land scale management. (3) age, education, the number of population in a family, the number of joining social insurance, the area of land, the quality of land, the idea of renting the land for ten years make remarkable effects on keeping the willingness of land scale management not changing.
Key words: households’ features；willingness of land scale management；influencing factors；logit regression model
目 录
摘要1
关键词1
Abstract1
Key words1
引言（或绪论）1
一、 文献综述2
二、 农户特征与农地经营规模意愿现状2
（一） 研究区域介绍与数据来源3
（二） 农户特征现状3
1． 农户个人特征现状3
2． 农户家庭特征现状4
3． 土地资源禀赋特征现状5
4． 土地情感特征现状6
（三） 农户农地经营规模意愿现状7
三、 农户特征对农地经营规模意愿影响实证分析7
（一） 变量选择与研究方法7
1. 变量选择7
2. 研究方法8
（二） 结果与分析9
1. 农户特征对农户扩大经营规模意愿影响分析9
2. 农户特征对农户缩小经营规模意愿影响分析10
3. 农户特征对农户保持经营规模不变意愿影响分析12
四、结论及相关建议14
（一）结论14
（二）建议14
致谢15
参考文献15
农户特征对农地经营规模意愿影响研究——以辽宁省为例
引言
随着我国城市化、工业化的发展，农村地区出现了劳动力向城市转移、进城务工的情况，导致部分地区出现土地抛荒、低效利用等问题[1]。家庭联产承包责任制不仅无法解决现阶段农村土地无人耕种等问题，其“一家一户分散经营”特征还产生了地块面积过小、粗放式耕种、细碎化严重等现象[2]。为了更好的利用土地资源，十八届三中全会、2015年中央一号文件等明确提出构建新型农业经营体系，积极发展多种形式适度规模经营等相关政策建议。发展适度规模经营有利于农村土地资源的高效及可持续利用，是促进我国农业现代化、商品化和专业化的有效途径，对农业提效、农民增收有明显的积极作用[3-4]，是我国农业生产发展的必然趋势[5-6]。