摘要近几年来，技术性贸易壁垒不断发展。技术性贸易壁垒不仅存在短期的影响，也存在长期的影响。目前农业依然是受技术性贸易壁垒影响较严重的行业之一。因此研究技术性贸易壁垒对我国农产品出口的双重影响具有意义。本文选取中国农产品作为研究对象，首先分析了技术性贸易壁垒背景下我国农产品的出口现状，发现农产品的出口量下降，出口价格上升，但是竞争力并没有下降，因此技术性贸易壁垒对我国农产品出口可能造成双重影响。再从理论方面分析了技术性贸易壁垒的双重影响，一方面是技术性贸易壁垒对出口规模的影响；另一方面是技术性贸易壁垒对我国农产品竞争力提升的潜在影响。技术性贸易壁垒对农产品竞争力提升的造成影响的前提是技术性贸易壁垒能够促进我国农业技术进步，因此本文采用多元回归对技术性贸易壁垒对技术进步的影响进行实证分析。本文构建了技术性贸易壁垒与技术进步的关系模型，采用2000-2013年中国农产品遭受的技术性贸易壁垒通报量、技术标准、技术进步等相关数据进行实证分析，得出技术性贸易壁垒对我国农业技术进步的影响不显著。接着对技术性贸易壁垒对我国农业技术进步没有造成显著影响的原因进行分析。最后提出对策使技术性贸易壁垒促进农业技术进步，提高农产品的竞争力。47384

Abstract ：In recent years, technical barriers to trade continuously developed. TBT not only has short-term impact, but also has long-term effects. Currently agriculture is still one of industries that seriously affected by TBT. So it’s very important to study TBT double effect to the exports of Chinese agricultural products. This article selects Chinese agricultural products as the research object. In this article, firstly, I analyze the export situation of agricultural products under the TBT and find that a decline in exports quantity, export prices rise, but competitiveness did not fall, so maybe there are double effects of TBT to the exports of Chinese agricultural products. Then I analyzed the double impact of TBT theoretically, on the one hand ,the impact of TBT on the export scale; on the other hand is the potential impact of TBT to enhance the competitiveness of agricultural products. The premise of potential impact of TBT to enhance the competitiveness of agricultural products is TBT can promote agricultural technological progress, so, I using multiple regression to analyze the effect of TBT on technological progress. In this Paper, I use the technological advances in agriculture produce, technical standard and TBT data from 2000-2013 to empirical analysis and establish the model . The result shows Technical Barriers to Trade don’t have significant impact to technological advances in agriculture. Then I analyze the reasons for their non-significant. Finally, I propose solutions to make TBT promote agricultural technological progress and improve the competitiveness of agricultural products.

毕业论文关键词：技术性贸易壁垒； 农产品； 双重影响； 技术进步； 多元回归 

Keywords:  TBT; agriculture Produce; Double impact; Technological advances; Multiple Regression

目    录

一、引言 5

（一）研究背景与意义 5

（二）研究内容 5

（三）研究方法 5

二、文献综述 6

（一）关于技术性贸易壁垒的定义和性质的研究 6

（二）关于技术性贸易壁垒影响的定性研究 6

（三）关于技术性贸易壁垒影响的实证研究