摘要经济增长与环境污染相互制约，环境又严重影响着人类的生存。随着经济的发展，目前中国的环境问题已经到达了日益严峻的时刻，人们开始愈来愈关心经济增长与环境污染之间的相关关系。环境库兹涅茨曲线理论表明，环境污染与经济发展之间呈现倒“U”型的曲线关系，即随着经济发展，环境污染呈现先下降后上升的趋势。表明随着经济的增长环境问题处于恶化阶段，之后经济的增长到达一定程度时，反哺于环境，使得环境得到相应的改善。58277

本文选取浙江省以及其下属的地级市1985-2013年历年的工业二氧化硫的排放数据与人均国民收入数据拟合回归模型，观察到随着经济的发展，浙江二氧化硫的排放已经越过拐点处于下降阶段，之后通过拟合地级市EKC区线，发现出现了倒U型和正U型两种不同的曲线结果，证明了经济增长EKC曲线的影响是有不同；之后进一步验证了产业结构以及贸易规模同样会影响环境库兹涅茨曲线拐点出现的时间早晚以及环境状况。

Abstract: Constrained economic growth and environmental pollution, serious environmental and affects the survival of mankind.With the development of economy, China's environmental problems are to reach the moment of growing, people began to more and more concerned about the relationship between economic growth and environmental pollution.Environmental Kuznets curve theory shows that the pollution of the environment and economic development appears inverted "U" type curve relation between, namely along with economic development, environmental pollution present down before rising trend.Show that as the growth of the economic environment problems at the deteriorating stage, after economic growth to a certain extent, feedback from the environment, makes the environment have been improved accordingly.

This article selects 1985-2013 in Zhejiang province and its subordinate prefecture of calendar year industrial so2 emissions data and per capital national income data fitting regression model, observed that with the development of economy, Zhejiang sulfur dioxide emissions have fallen across a turning point in the stage of the fitting level after the EKC area line, found the inverted U shape and are U the curve of the two different results, proved that the effect of economic growth the EKC curve is different;After further validation of the industrial structure and trade scale will also affect the environment Kuznets curve inflection point.And the conditional of the environmental.

毕业论文关键词：环境库兹涅茨曲线；人均国民收入；产业结构；二氧化硫

Keyword:Environmental Kuznets curve;per capital income;industrial structure;SO2 emissions data

目录

1. 引言 4

1.1. 选题背景和意义 4

1.2. 研究内容 4

1.3. 研究方法 4

2. 文献综述 5

2.1. 环境库兹涅茨曲线的提出 5

2.2. 空气质量的环境库兹涅茨曲线实证研究 5

2.3. 研究中存在的问题 6

3. 浙江省经济与环境发展现状 6

3.1. 浙江省经济增长现状 6

3.2. 浙江省空气环境污染现状 7

4. 浙江空气质量与经济增长之间关系实证研究 8

4.1. 模型设计 8

4.2. 浙江省EKC曲线实证检验 9

4.3. 分地区EKC曲线实证检验