商品住宅开发风险管理研究
本文主要研究商品住宅开发的风险及风险的应对管理。首先对商品住宅开发风险进行相关理论分析，然后在此基础上阐释风险因素并分析我国商品住宅开发的系统风险和非系统风险。最后以上海一个商品住宅项目为例进行分析，从而提出应对项目风险的建议性措施，减小商品住宅开发的风险，恢复房地产开发商的投资信心，稳定商品住宅消费者的购买情绪，保证房地产市场的正常有序发展。
毕业论文关键词： 商品住宅开发风险；风险应对；风险评价模型
Study on Development Risk Management of Commodity Housing
Abstract：In recent years, as China's macro-control of real estate increased gradually，the development of the real estate industry greatly affected, commodity residential development is faced with a great risk. In this environment, the commodity housing market fluctuations，increases the risk of developing. Therefore, this paper attempts to study the risk of residential development and risk management measures.
This article mainly studies on development risk analysis and management of commercial residence. Firstly, the related theoretical analysis on the development of risk and the risk of residential development, and then on the basis of the interpretation and analysis of risk factors of system risk and non system risk of China' s commercial housing development. At last taking a project in shanghai as an example to applying the housing development risk. And thus it can find the management to control project development risk, reduces the risk of commercial residence development, restore the confidence of the real estate developers. And it can also make the consumers’ emotion stable, ensure the residential property market develops normally and in an energetic and orderly fashion.
Key Words：the development risk of commercial residence, risk management, risk evaluation model
目 录
1 绪论 1
1.1 研究背景 1
1.2 研究意义 4
1.3 国内外研究综述 5
1.3.1 国外研究概况 5
1.3.2 国内研究概况 5
1.4 研究内容与研究方法 6
1.4.1 研究内容 6
1.4.2 研究方法 6
2 商品住宅开发风险管理综述 7
2.1 风险概述 7
2.1.1 风险的概念 7
2.1.1 风险的特征 7
2.2 风险管理概述 8
2.2.1 风险管理的概念 8
2.2.2 风险管理的目标 8
2.2.3 风险管理的程序和作用 9
2.3 商品住宅开发风险管理的概念及本质 9
2.3.1 商品住宅开发风险管理的概念 9
2.3.2 商品住宅开发风险的本质 10
2.4 商品住宅开发风险类别 10
2.5 商品住宅开发风险管理的程序 11
2.6 商品住宅开发风险评价方法 11
3 我国商品住宅开发非系统风险探析 12
3.1 政策风险 12
3.1.1 土地政策 12
3.1.2 税收政策 14
3.2 利率风险 15
3.2.1 利率概述 15
3.2.2 利率影响分析 15
4 我国商品住宅开发系统风险探析 18
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